SimpleFunctions

Sonny Styles · KXNFLDROTY-27

Sonny Styles is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXNFLDROTY-27.

Price history

11¢ current

+2¢
5¢10¢15¢
Sep 17, 2026Sep 19, 2026

Contract brief

If Sonny Styles wins the Pro Football AP Defensive Rookie of the Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Sonny Styles

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Jacob Rodriguez 21¢

Range

1¢-21¢

Family volume

$13K

Identifier

KXNFLDROTY-27-SSTY

Sep 22, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

11¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 22, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

10¢

Ask

11¢

Spread

1¢

24h volume

$223

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLDROTY-27

Closes

Feb 28, 2028

Family volume

$13K

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 11¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
10¢440
9¢113
8¢306
7¢142
6¢83
AskSize
11¢1.3K
12¢502
13¢550
20¢180
25¢43

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Sonny Styles wins the Pro Football AP Defensive Rookie of the Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 28, 2028

Identifier

KXNFLDROTY-27-SSTY

SF Signal
SF Index
256.19
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

563.6%

IY (No)

8.6%

Adj IY

256%

CRI

8

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.09

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

563.6%
8.6%
Adj IY
256%
8
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.09

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.