Sydney Sweeney · KXPERFORMROLE007
Sydney Sweeney is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXPERFORMROLE007.
Price history
15¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
If Sydney Sweeney performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Sydney Sweeney
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Margaret Qualley 26¢
Range
1¢-26¢
Family volume
$251
Identifier
KXPERFORMROLE007-SYD
Jul 24, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
25¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · KXPERFORMROLE007
Closes
Jan 1, 2031
Family volume
$251
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 25¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Sydney Sweeney performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2031
Identifier
KXPERFORMROLE007-SYD
Event family
KXPERFORMROLE007.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$251
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Margaret Qualley 26¢
Current share
0%
Margaret Qualley
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-MAR
Sydney Sweeney
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-SYD
Anya Taylor-Joy
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-ANY
Adria Arjona
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-ADR
Alicia Vikander
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-ALI
Emma Mackey
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-EMM
Mikey Madison
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-MIK
Vanessa Kirby
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-VAN
Cailee Spaeny
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-CAI
Hunter Schafer
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-HUN
Florence Pugh
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-FLO
Zendaya
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-ZEN
Daisy Edgar-Jones
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-DAI
Jodie Comer
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-JOD
Ana de Armas
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-ANA
Lily James
kalshi · KXPERFORMROLE007-LIL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.