SZA · KX20SONG-26DEC26
SZA is priced at 57¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 45¢ bid, 57¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KX20SONG-26DEC26.
Price history
57¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If SZA has a top 20 single on the Billboard Hot 100 by the Billboard issue for Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
SZA
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Post Malone 84¢
Range
1¢-84¢
Family volume
$29
Identifier
KX20SONG-26DEC26-SZA
Jun 26, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
45¢
Ask
57¢
Spread
12¢
Reported volume
$13
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · KX20SONG-26DEC26
Closes
Dec 29, 2026
Family volume
$29
Orderbook snapshot
45 / 57¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If SZA has a top 20 single on the Billboard Hot 100 by the Billboard issue for Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 29, 2026
Identifier
KX20SONG-26DEC26-SZA
Event family
KX20SONG-26DEC26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$29
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Post Malone 84¢
Current share
0%
Post Malone
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-POS
The Weeknd
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-WEE
SZA
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-SZA
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-BIL
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-KEN
Travis Scott
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-TRA
Kanye West / Ye
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-KAN
Benson Boone
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-BEN
Rihanna
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-RIH
Charlie Puth
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-CHA
Eminem
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-EMI
Ed Sheeran
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-ED
J Balvin
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-JBA
Coldplay
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-COL
YoungBoy Never Broke Again
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-YOU
Ozuna
kalshi · KX20SONG-26DEC26-OZU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 57% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.