SimpleFunctions

Texas Tech win at least 7 games this season

7+ wins is priced at 98¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 90¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 8 inside Will Texas Tech win at least.

Price history

98¢ current

+32¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jun 24, 2026Jul 24, 2026

Contract brief

If the Texas Tech college football team has at least 7 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

7+ wins

Rank

#2 of 8

Leader

5+ wins 95¢

Range

23¢-95¢

Family volume

$247

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26TTU-7

Jul 24, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

98¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 24, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

90¢

Ask

98¢

Spread

Reported volume

$27

Family rank

#2 of 8

8 outcomes · Will Texas Tech win at least

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Family volume

$247

Orderbook snapshot

90 / 98¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
90¢500
89¢1.0K
75¢30
AskSize
98¢5
99¢2.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Texas Tech college football team has at least 7 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26TTU-7

SF Signal
SF Index
1779.70
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

30.2%

IY (No)

1979.9%

Adj IY

1780%

CRI

8

RV

116%

VR

2.14

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

30.2%
1979.9%
Adj IY
1780%
8
RV
116%
VR
2.14
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
3.7%
LAS
0.10

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.