SimpleFunctions

Texas Tech win at least 9 games this season

9+ wins is priced at 78¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 81¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 8 inside Will Texas Tech win at least.

Price history

78¢ current

3¢
50¢75¢
Aug 21, 2026Sep 19, 2026

Contract brief

If the Texas Tech college football team has at least 9 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

9+ wins

Rank

#5 of 8

Leader

6+ wins 90¢

Range

25¢-90¢

Family volume

$6K

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26TTU-9

Sep 21, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

78¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 21, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

81¢

Ask

96¢

Spread

15¢

Reported volume

$4K

Family rank

#5 of 8

8 outcomes · Will Texas Tech win at least

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Family volume

$6K

Orderbook snapshot

81 / 96¢

Kalshi
15¢ spread
BidSize
81¢30
77¢250
62¢90
AskSize
96¢18
97¢751
98¢500
99¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Texas Tech college football team has at least 9 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26TTU-9

SF Signal
SF Index
818.90
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

76.8%

IY (No)

2116.6%

Adj IY

819%

CRI

5

Overround

4.8%

LAS

0.23

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

76.8%
2116.6%
Adj IY
819%
5
Overround
4.8%
LAS
0.23

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.