SimpleFunctions

Texas Tech win at least 9 games this season

9+ wins is priced at 64¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 69¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 8 inside Will Texas Tech win at least.

Price history

64¢ current

+18¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jun 24, 2026Jul 24, 2026

Contract brief

If the Texas Tech college football team has at least 9 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

9+ wins

Rank

#6 of 8

Leader

5+ wins 95¢

Range

23¢-95¢

Family volume

$247

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26TTU-9

Jul 24, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 9m ago

Implied probability

64¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jul 24, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 9m ago

Bid

29¢

Ask

98¢

Spread

69¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#6 of 8

8 outcomes · Will Texas Tech win at least

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Family volume

$247

Orderbook snapshot

29 / 98¢

Kalshi
69¢ spread
BidSize
29¢25
25¢100
21¢200
AskSize
98¢30
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Texas Tech college football team has at least 9 wins in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFWINS-26TTU-9

SF Signal
SF Index
599.10
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

599.1%

IY (No)

99.9%

Adj IY

599%

CRI

2

RV

2320%

VR

1.77

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

599.1%
99.9%
Adj IY
599%
2
RV
2320%
VR
1.77
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
3.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.