Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 5th District House election be at least 77 percentage points?
This contract is priced at 32¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 8¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
9
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
Democrats, 59+ pts 96¢
Ticker
KXMIDTERMMOV-GA05D-P77
Market snapshot
Democrats, 77+ pts in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 5th District House election be at least 77 percentage points?. The displayed quote is 32¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 5th District House election be at least family, this outcome ranks #7 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 10:53 PM UTC.
Outcome
Democrats, 77+ pts
Family rank
#7 of 9
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
32¢
Quote source
Bid/ask midpoint
Timing
Listed until Nov 3, 2027
Reported volume
—
Family context
9 outcomes · Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 5th District House election be at least
Quote range
7¢-96¢
Family leader
Democrats, 59+ pts 96¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 10:53 PM UTC · 12m ago
Venue identifier: KXMIDTERMMOV-GA05D-P77. Family volume: —.
Price history
32¢ current
+30¢Orderbook snapshot
28 / 36¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Georgia's 5th District by 77 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMIDTERMMOV-GA05D-P77
Event family
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 5th District House election be at least.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Democrats, 59+ pts 96¢
Current share
—
Democrats, 77+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-GA05D-P77
Democrats, 59+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-GA05D-P59
Democrats, 62+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-GA05D-P62
Democrats, 65+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-GA05D-P65
Democrats, 68+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-GA05D-P68
Democrats, 71+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-GA05D-P71
Democrats, 74+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-GA05D-P74
Democrats, 80+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-GA05D-P80
Democrats, 83+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-GA05D-P83
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.