SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 3, 2027549 days left

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 15 percentage points?

This contract is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Implied probability

43¢
$16 volume
$16 liquidity
2% of event volume

Event outcomes

11

Family volume

$686

Best sibling

Democrats, 11+ pts 63¢

Ticker

KXMIDTERMMOV-MNSEND-P15

Price history

43¢ current

+13¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 30, 2026May 1, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

43 / 51¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
No public depth snapshot is cached for this contract yet.

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

KXMIDTERMMOV-MNSEND-P15

Event family

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$686

Outcomes

11

Highest price

Democrats, 1+ pts 89¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

88.1%

IY (No)

50.1%

Adj IY

44%

CRI

1

Overround

5.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

88.1%
50.1%
Adj IY
44%
1
Overround
5.2%

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