Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 15 percentage points?
This contract is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 8¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
11
Family volume
$686
Best sibling
Democrats, 11+ pts 63¢
Ticker
KXMIDTERMMOV-MNSEND-P15
Price history
43¢ current
+13¢Orderbook snapshot
43 / 51¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMIDTERMMOV-MNSEND-P15
Event family
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$686
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Democrats, 1+ pts 89¢
Current share
0%
Democrats, 15+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-MNSEND-P15
Democrats, 11+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-MNSEND-P11
Democrats, 17+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-MNSEND-P17
Democrats, 1+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-MNSEND-P1
Democrats, 3+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-MNSEND-P3
Democrats, 5+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-MNSEND-P5
Democrats, 7+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-MNSEND-P7
Democrats, 9+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-MNSEND-P9
Democrats, 13+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-MNSEND-P13
Democrats, 19+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-MNSEND-P19
Democrats, 21+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-MNSEND-P21
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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