Max temperature in Boston above 75 degrees on Jul 4, 2026
Boston is priced at 51¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 60¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside Will the max temperature.
Price history
51¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If the maximum temperature recorded at Boston for Jul 4, 2026, is greater than 75°F according to the Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Boston
Rank
#15 of 16
Leader
New Orleans 98¢
Range
20¢-98¢
Family volume
$12K
Identifier
KXHOLIDAYTMAX-26070475-BOS
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
30¢
Ask
90¢
Spread
60¢
24h volume
$60
Family rank
#15 of 16
16 outcomes · Will the max temperature
Closes
Jul 5, 2026
Family volume
$12K
Orderbook snapshot
30 / 90¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the maximum temperature recorded at Boston for Jul 4, 2026, is greater than 75°F according to the Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 5, 2026
Identifier
KXHOLIDAYTMAX-26070475-BOS
Event family
Will the max temperature.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$12K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
New Orleans 98¢
Current share
0%
New Orleans
kalshi · KXHOLIDAYTMAX-26070475-NOLA
Oklahoma City
kalshi · KXHOLIDAYTMAX-26070475-OKC
Miami
kalshi · KXHOLIDAYTMAX-26070475-MIA
Austin
kalshi · KXHOLIDAYTMAX-26070475-AUS
Dallas
kalshi · KXHOLIDAYTMAX-26070475-DAL
Las Vegas
kalshi · KXHOLIDAYTMAX-26070475-LV
Phoenix
kalshi · KXHOLIDAYTMAX-26070475-PHX
Atlanta
kalshi · KXHOLIDAYTMAX-26070475-ATL
San Antonio
kalshi · KXHOLIDAYTMAX-26070475-SATX
Houston
kalshi · KXHOLIDAYTMAX-26070475-HOU
Washington DC
kalshi · KXHOLIDAYTMAX-26070475-DC
Minneapolis
kalshi · KXHOLIDAYTMAX-26070475-MIN
Philadelphia
kalshi · KXHOLIDAYTMAX-26070475-PHIL
New York City
kalshi · KXHOLIDAYTMAX-26070475-NYC
Boston
kalshi · KXHOLIDAYTMAX-26070475-BOS
Los Angeles
kalshi · KXHOLIDAYTMAX-26070475-LAX
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.