54.99 or below · Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $
54.99 or below is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 6 inside Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $.
Price history
16¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $55 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
54.99 or below
Rank
#6 of 6
Leader
74.99 or below 99¢
Range
9¢-99¢
Family volume
$20K
Identifier
KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T55
Jun 23, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#6 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$20K
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $55 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T55
Event family
Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$20K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
74.99 or below 99¢
Current share
5%
74.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T75
69.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T70
64.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T65
59.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T60
49.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T50
54.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T55
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Global Oil Prices 2026: OPEC, Venezuela, Iran & Prediction Markets in Focus
Deep‑dive on global oil prices in 2026: how OPEC+ cuts, Saudi strategy, Venezuela and Iran sanctions, U.S. shale, and China’s demand shape Brent—and what prediction markets are pricing in.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Venezuela Oil Production, PDVSA 2026 Sanctions & Prediction Markets: What the Odds Are Really Pricing In
In-depth analysis of Venezuela oil production and PDVSA through 2026, U.S. sanctions and Chevron licenses, China/Russia oil-for-loans, infrastructure constraints, and how prediction markets are pricing future Venezuelan supply.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 16% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.