55.99 or below · Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $
55.99 or below is priced at 33¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 60¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 12 inside Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $.
Price history
33¢ current
+10¢Contract brief
If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $56 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
55.99 or below
Rank
#7 of 12
Leader
64.99 or below 52¢
Range
2¢-52¢
Family volume
$160
Identifier
KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T56
Jul 11, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
63¢
Spread
60¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#7 of 12
12 outcomes · Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$160
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 63¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $56 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T56
Event family
Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$160
Outcomes
12
Highest price
64.99 or below 52¢
Current share
0%
64.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T65
59.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T60
54.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T55
63.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T64
49.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T50
62.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T63
55.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T56
56.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T57
57.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T58
58.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T59
61.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T62
60.99 or below
kalshi · KXWTIMIN-26DEC31-T61
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
Read 33% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.