Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year
Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year is priced at 5¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
5¢ current
−47¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation preempts state and local autonomous vehicle laws by establishing a unified federal regulatory framework for the testing and deployment of vehicles equipped with automated driving systems, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress, and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 7390 (119th) — SELF DRIVE Act of 2026. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$113
Identifier
0x58d735c9...f897
Jun 26, 2026, 3:34 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$113
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$113
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation preempts state and local autonomous vehicle laws by establishing a unified federal regulatory framework for the testing and deployment of vehicles equipped with automated driving systems, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress, and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 7390 (119th) — SELF DRIVE Act of 2026. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x58d735c9…f897
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$113
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year 5¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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