Total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election above 10000000
Above 10.00M is priced at 41¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 9 inside Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election be above.
Price history
41¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election is above 10000000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 10.00M
Rank
#3 of 9
Leader
Above 8.80M 72¢
Range
4¢-72¢
Family volume
$705
Identifier
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-TXSEN-10000000
Aug 4, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
35¢
Ask
42¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$405
Family rank
#3 of 9
9 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election be above
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$705
Orderbook snapshot
35 / 42¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election is above 10000000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-TXSEN-10000000
Event family
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$705
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Above 8.80M 72¢
Current share
57%
Above 8.80M
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-TXSEN-8800000
Above 9.40M
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-TXSEN-9400000
Above 10.00M
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-TXSEN-10000000
Above 10.60M
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-TXSEN-10600000
Above 11.20M
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-TXSEN-11200000
Above 11.80M
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-TXSEN-11800000
Above 12.40M
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-TXSEN-12400000
Above 13.50M
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-TXSEN-13500000
Above 12.90M
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-TXSEN-12900000
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.