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Over 22.5 points scored

Over 22.5 points scored is priced at 70¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 59¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 21¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside Will there be over.

Price history

70¢ current

+57¢
25¢50¢75¢
Aug 4, 2026Aug 8, 2026

Contract brief

If Miami and Las Vegas collectively score more than 22.5 points in the Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Over 22.5 points scored

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Over 19.5 points scored 65¢

Range

16¢-65¢

Family volume

$11

Identifier

KXNFLTOTAL-26SEP13MIALV-23

Aug 8, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

70¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Aug 8, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

59¢

Ask

80¢

Spread

21¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · Will there be over

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Family volume

$11

Orderbook snapshot

59 / 80¢

Kalshi
21¢ spread
BidSize
59¢13K
42¢20K
29¢37K
22¢2.3K
20¢62K
AskSize
80¢10
85¢10
88¢200
90¢10
92¢10

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Miami and Las Vegas collectively score more than 22.5 points in the Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLTOTAL-26SEP13MIALV-23

SF Signal
SF Index
680.09
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

656.8%

IY (No)

1360.2%

Adj IY

680%

CRI

1

Overround

6.6%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

656.8%
1360.2%
Adj IY
680%
1
Overround
6.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.