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Over 49.5 points scored

Over 49.5 points scored is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 24¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside Will there be over.

Price history

28¢ current

+16¢
10¢20¢30¢
Aug 4, 2026Aug 8, 2026

Contract brief

If Miami and Las Vegas collectively score more than 49.5 points in the Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Over 49.5 points scored

Rank

#15 of 16

Leader

Over 34.5 points scored 68¢

Range

16¢-68¢

Family volume

$11

Identifier

KXNFLTOTAL-26SEP13MIALV-50

Aug 8, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

28¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 8, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

20¢

Ask

44¢

Spread

24¢

Reported volume

$30

Family rank

#15 of 16

16 outcomes · Will there be over

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Family volume

$11

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 44¢

Kalshi
24¢ spread
BidSize
20¢20
15¢10
12¢200
10¢10
8¢447
AskSize
44¢10
63¢10
65¢8.8K
73¢2.3K
75¢14K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Miami and Las Vegas collectively score more than 49.5 points in the Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLTOTAL-26SEP13MIALV-50

SF Signal
SF Index
3162.74
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3162.7%

IY (No)

282.2%

Adj IY

3163%

CRI

3

RV

1746%

VR

2.06

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3162.7%
282.2%
Adj IY
3163%
3
RV
1746%
VR
2.06
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
7.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.