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Over 38.5 points scored

Over 38.5 points scored is priced at 57¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 52¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside Will there be over.

Price history

57¢ current

+45¢
25¢50¢
Aug 4, 2026Aug 8, 2026

Contract brief

If Miami and Las Vegas collectively score more than 38.5 points in the Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Over 38.5 points scored

Rank

#9 of 16

Leader

Over 19.5 points scored 65¢

Range

16¢-65¢

Family volume

$11

Identifier

KXNFLTOTAL-26SEP13MIALV-39

Aug 8, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 30m ago

Implied probability

57¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Aug 8, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 30m ago

Bid

52¢

Ask

62¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#9 of 16

16 outcomes · Will there be over

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Family volume

$11

Orderbook snapshot

52 / 62¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
52¢55
51¢233
45¢1.0K
30¢10
25¢1.3K
AskSize
62¢55
63¢233
66¢510
67¢1.0K
80¢10

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Miami and Las Vegas collectively score more than 38.5 points in the Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLTOTAL-26SEP13MIALV-39

SF Signal
SF Index
1202.36
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

742.3%

IY (No)

1202.4%

Adj IY

1202%

CRI

1

RV

285%

VR

1.01

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

742.3%
1202.4%
Adj IY
1202%
1
RV
285%
VR
1.01
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
7.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.