Trea Turner · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20
Trea Turner is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20.
Price history
22¢ current
Contract brief
If Trea Turner records 20+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Trea Turner
Rank
#13 of 16
Leader
Brandon Lowe 93¢
Range
4¢-93¢
Family volume
$150
Identifier
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-TTURNER7
Jun 21, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
22¢
Ask
32¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$138
Family rank
#13 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20
Closes
Oct 3, 2026
Family volume
$150
Orderbook snapshot
22 / 32¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Trea Turner records 20+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 3, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-TTURNER7
Event family
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$150
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Brandon Lowe 93¢
Current share
0%
Brandon Lowe
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-BLOWE5
Pete Crow-Armstrong
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-PCROWARMSTRONG4
Tyler Soderstrom
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-TSODERSTROM21
Jackson Chourio
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-JCHOURIO11
Brandon Nimmo
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-BNIMMO24
Spencer Steer
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-SSTEER7
Jarren Duran
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-JDURAN16
Brice Turang
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-BTURANG2
Jac Caglianone
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-JCAGLIANONE14
Adley Rutschman
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-ARUTSCHMAN35
Alex Bregman
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-ABREGMAN3
Bo Bichette
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-BBICHETTE19
Trea Turner
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-TTURNER7
Alec Bohm
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-ABOHM28
Alejandro Kirk
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-AKIRK30
Brett Baty
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-BBATY7
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter
How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 22% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.