SimpleFunctions
KalshiJul 1, 202658 days left

Will Trump's first announced Labor Secretary pick be confirmed as Secretary of Labor before Jul 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

4¢
$734 volume
$680 liquidity
102% of event volume

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$720

Best sibling

Before Jan 1, 2027 62¢

Ticker

KXLABORSECCONF-26-JUL01

Price history

4¢ current

27¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 20, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 10¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
5¢5
4¢100
3¢200
2¢200
AskSize
10¢15
11¢164
12¢100
14¢200
58¢510

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Trump's first announced Labor Secretary pick is the first person confirmed as Secretary of Labor before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Identifier

KXLABORSECCONF-26-JUL01

Event family

Will Trump's first announced Labor Secretary pick be confirmed as Secretary of Labor before.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$720

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Before Jan 1, 2027 62¢

Current share

47%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

11866.7%

IY (No)

32.9%

Adj IY

11867%

CRI

19

RV

3229%

VR

2.50

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

11866.7%
32.9%
Adj IY
11867%
19
RV
3229%
VR
2.50
IAR
0.2/h
Overround
0.6%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogpolitics

US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress

A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index