SimpleFunctions
KalshiSep 1, 2026120 days left

Will Trump's first announced Labor Secretary pick be confirmed as Secretary of Labor before Sep 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 53¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 44¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

53¢
$616 volume
$150 liquidity
86% of event volume

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$720

Best sibling

Before Jul 1, 2026 5¢

Ticker

KXLABORSECCONF-26-SEP01

Price history

53¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 20, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

44 / 51¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
44¢5
43¢100
41¢200
19¢159
17¢453
AskSize
51¢105
52¢200
79¢163
81¢408
99¢50

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Trump's first announced Labor Secretary pick is the first person confirmed as Secretary of Labor before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 1, 2026

Identifier

KXLABORSECCONF-26-SEP01

Event family

Will Trump's first announced Labor Secretary pick be confirmed as Secretary of Labor before.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$720

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Before Jan 1, 2027 62¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

385.7%

IY (No)

238.1%

Adj IY

193%

CRI

1

Overround

0.6%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

385.7%
238.1%
Adj IY
193%
1
Overround
0.6%

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