UAB · KXNCAAFAAC-26
UAB is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 12 inside KXNCAAFAAC-26.
Price history
28¢ current
Contract brief
If UAB wins the 2026 College Football American Athletic Conference Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
UAB
Rank
#1 of 12
Leader
UAB 28¢
Range
2¢-28¢
Family volume
$238
Identifier
KXNCAAFAAC-26-UAB
Jul 22, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$101
Family rank
#1 of 12
12 outcomes · KXNCAAFAAC-26
Closes
Jan 3, 2027
Family volume
$238
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If UAB wins the 2026 College Football American Athletic Conference Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 3, 2027
Identifier
KXNCAAFAAC-26-UAB
Event family
KXNCAAFAAC-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$238
Outcomes
12
Highest price
UAB 28¢
Current share
0%
UAB
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-UAB
Navy
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-NAVY
UTSA
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-UTSA
Memphis
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-MEM
East Carolina
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-ECU
Army
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-ARMY
Tulane
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-TULN
South Florida
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-USF
Florida Atlantic
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-FAU
Temple
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-TEM
North Texas
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-UNT
Tulsa
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-TLSA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 28% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.