SimpleFunctions

Tulane · KXNCAAFAAC-26

Tulane is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 12 inside KXNCAAFAAC-26.

Price history

13¢ current

+7¢
0¢10¢
Jun 27, 2026Jul 19, 2026

Contract brief

If Tulane wins the 2026 College Football American Athletic Conference Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tulane

Rank

#8 of 12

Leader

UAB 28¢

Range

1¢-28¢

Family volume

$518

Identifier

KXNCAAFAAC-26-TULN

Jul 24, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

13¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 24, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

Ask

13¢

Spread

24h volume

$7

Family rank

#8 of 12

12 outcomes · KXNCAAFAAC-26

Closes

Jan 3, 2027

Family volume

$518

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 13¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
6¢5
5¢100
AskSize
13¢293
14¢2.0K
15¢2.5K
16¢496
17¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tulane wins the 2026 College Football American Athletic Conference Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 3, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFAAC-26-TULN

SF Signal
SF Index
1747.45
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3494.9%

IY (No)

14.2%

Adj IY

1747%

CRI

16

Overround

0.1%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

3494.9%
14.2%
Adj IY
1747%
16
Overround
0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.