Will Tulane win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship?
Prediction markets currently give a 20% probability that Will Tulane win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship?. This contract trades at 20¢ on Kalshi, closing January 3, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $11 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 60¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $11 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 60¢ price potentially unreliable. The massive 1854% implied yield on the Yes side and 42¢ spread suggest the market is severely mispriced or thinly traded, with the cliff risk index of 13 indicating substantial uncertainty around resolution mechanics. With 262 days until expiry and minimal trading activity, this appears to be a speculative micro-market rather than an efficiently priced prediction.
Resolution rules
If Tulane wins the 2026 College Football American Athletic Conference Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNCAAFAAC-26-TULN yes 100