Will Army win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship?
Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Will Army win the College Football American Athletic Conference Championship?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Kalshi, closing January 3, 2027. This market is essentially illiquid with only $5 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 41¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.
Analysis
This market is essentially illiquid with only $5 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 41¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The extreme 1255.7% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the tiny position size rather than genuine opportunity, and the 6¢ spread is wide relative to the contract value. With 262 days until expiry and a high Cliff Risk Index of 9, this contract carries significant uncertainty around Army's actual championship odds, suggesting the price may not reflect true market consensus.
Resolution rules
If Army wins the 2026 College Football American Athletic Conference Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNCAAFAAC-26-ARMY yes 100