Memphis · KXNCAAFAAC-26
Memphis is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 12 inside KXNCAAFAAC-26.
Price history
40¢ current
+38¢Contract brief
If Memphis wins the 2026 College Football American Athletic Conference Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Memphis
Rank
#5 of 12
Leader
UAB 28¢
Range
2¢-28¢
Family volume
$403
Identifier
KXNCAAFAAC-26-MEM
Jul 19, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$266
Family rank
#5 of 12
12 outcomes · KXNCAAFAAC-26
Closes
Jan 3, 2027
Family volume
$403
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Memphis wins the 2026 College Football American Athletic Conference Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 3, 2027
Identifier
KXNCAAFAAC-26-MEM
Event family
KXNCAAFAAC-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$403
Outcomes
12
Highest price
UAB 28¢
Current share
0%
UAB
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-UAB
Navy
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-NAVY
UTSA
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-UTSA
East Carolina
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-ECU
Memphis
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-MEM
South Florida
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-USF
Army
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-ARMY
Tulane
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-TULN
Florida Atlantic
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-FAU
Temple
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-TEM
North Texas
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-UNT
Tulsa
kalshi · KXNCAAFAAC-26-TLSA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.