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United States Challenger Job Cuts for July 2026 above 90,000

Above 90,000 is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 9 inside Will United States Challenger Job Cuts for July 2026 be above.

Price history

11¢ current

3¢
0¢10¢20¢
Jul 1, 2026Jul 18, 2026

Contract brief

If Trading Economics reports that United States Challenger job cuts for July 2026 is above 90,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 90,000

Rank

#7 of 9

Leader

Above 30,000 84¢

Range

2¢-84¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXCHCUTS-26AUG06-T90000

Jul 23, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 1h ago

Implied probability

11¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 23, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 1h ago

Bid

Ask

10¢

Spread

Reported volume

$15

Family rank

#7 of 9

9 outcomes · Will United States Challenger Job Cuts for July 2026 be above

Closes

Aug 6, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 10¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
5¢5
4¢250
AskSize
10¢15
11¢250
94¢249
95¢3.6K
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Trading Economics reports that United States Challenger job cuts for July 2026 is above 90,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 6, 2026

Identifier

KXCHCUTS-26AUG06-T90000

SF Signal
SF Index
0.00
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

49706.1%

IY (No)

137.7%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

19

Overround

1.4%

LAS

1.00

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

49706.1%
137.7%
Adj IY
0%
19
Overround
1.4%
LAS
1.00

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.