United States Challenger Job Cuts for July 2026 above 70,000
Above 70,000 is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 9 inside Will United States Challenger Job Cuts for July 2026 be above.
Price history
20¢ current
−26¢Contract brief
If Trading Economics reports that United States Challenger job cuts for July 2026 is above 70,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 70,000
Rank
#5 of 9
Leader
Above 30,000 84¢
Range
2¢-84¢
Family volume
$12
Identifier
KXCHCUTS-26AUG06-T70000
Jul 26, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$5
Family rank
#5 of 9
9 outcomes · Will United States Challenger Job Cuts for July 2026 be above
Closes
Aug 6, 2026
Family volume
$12
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Trading Economics reports that United States Challenger job cuts for July 2026 is above 70,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 6, 2026
Identifier
KXCHCUTS-26AUG06-T70000
Event family
Will United States Challenger Job Cuts for July 2026 be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$12
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Above 30,000 84¢
Current share
43%
Above 30,000
kalshi · KXCHCUTS-26AUG06-T30000
Above 40,000
kalshi · KXCHCUTS-26AUG06-T40000
Above 50,000
kalshi · KXCHCUTS-26AUG06-T50000
Above 60,000
kalshi · KXCHCUTS-26AUG06-T60000
Above 70,000
kalshi · KXCHCUTS-26AUG06-T70000
Above 80,000
kalshi · KXCHCUTS-26AUG06-T80000
Above 90,000
kalshi · KXCHCUTS-26AUG06-T90000
Above 100,000
kalshi · KXCHCUTS-26AUG06-T100000
Above 110,000
kalshi · KXCHCUTS-26AUG06-T110000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.