William Blair · KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01
William Blair is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 15 inside KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01.
Price history
43¢ current
Contract brief
If William Blair serves as a lead underwriter for OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
William Blair
Rank
#4 of 15
Leader
Stifel Financial 46¢
Range
6¢-46¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-WBLAX
Jul 19, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
35¢
Ask
42¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$65
Family rank
#4 of 15
15 outcomes · KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
35 / 42¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If William Blair serves as a lead underwriter for OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Identifier
KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-WBLAX
Event family
KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Stifel Financial 46¢
Current share
—
Stifel Financial
kalshi · KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-SFX
Raymond James
kalshi · KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-RJFX
Needham & Company
kalshi · KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-NEEDX
William Blair
kalshi · KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-WBLAX
Rothschild & Co
kalshi · KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-ROTHX
Allen & Company
kalshi · KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-ALLCX
Qatalyst Partners
kalshi · KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-QATAX
Evercore
kalshi · KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-EVRX
Piper Sandler
kalshi · KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-PIPRX
Perella Weinberg Partners
kalshi · KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-PWPX
Centerview
kalshi · KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-CVPXX
Greenhill & Co
kalshi · KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-GHLX
Lazard
kalshi · KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-LAZX
Moelis & Company
kalshi · KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-MCX
PJT Partners
kalshi · KXOPENAIBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-PJTX
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.