Bitcoin $150k Target Sees Record Volume as MicroStrategy Hints at Sale
The 'When will Bitcoin hit $150k?' market has seen over 5.8M in total volume, making it the most traded event on Polymarket. MicroStrategy's potential Bitcoin sale probability jumped 5 points to 45¢, adding bearish pressure.
Key takeaways
- 01
The 'When will Bitcoin hit $150k?' market has seen over 5.8M in total volume, making it the most traded event on Polymarket.
- 02
MicroStrategy's potential Bitcoin sale probability jumped 5 points to 45¢, adding bearish pressure.
- 03
Bitcoin prediction markets are experiencing heightened activity as the $150k target date contract (by June 30, 2026) has accumulated 5.8M in volume, the highest of any prediction market in the dataset.
Full analysis
Bitcoin prediction markets are experiencing heightened activity as the $150k target date contract (by June 30, 2026) has accumulated 5.8M in volume, the highest of any prediction market in the dataset. The price per contract remains at 1¢, indicating long-term optimism but near-term skepticism. More immediately, the `MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026` market surged 5 points to 45¢, following a regulatory filing hinting at a potential treasury rebalancing. This has spilled over into daily price range markets; the `KXBTCD-26MAY1517-T80` kalshi contract (Bitcoin price between $79,500 and $80,499) is heavily traded at 36¢ with a narrow 2¢ spread. Other notable markets: `KXBTC2026200-27JAN01` (Bitcoin above $200k by Jan 2027) at 6¢, and `KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26MA` (BTC trimmed mean above $85k by May 31) at 41¢. The MicroStrategy news introduces a potential supply shock, and traders should watch for further corporate Bitcoin sales. The long-dated $150k contract serves as a broad sentiment barometer.
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