Will the final score be Draw 0-0

The yield curve for KXWCSCORE exhibits a flat structure across all observed tenors, with all 77 constituent markets clustering at 15-16 days to resolution. Within this compressed timeframe, YES probabilities range from 1% to 14%, with the lowest probabilities concentrated in the tail outcomes (those marked with higher EGY and DZA indices). The cheapest YES probabilities appear consistently at 1%, representing the most extreme outcome buckets across multiple regional pairs (AUS, SUI, COL, ARG), while mid-range outcomes trade between 4-14%. The highest conviction probabilities center around 12-14%, particularly in the SUI1DZA1 market at 14% and several AUS and COL markets at 13%, suggesting the market views these intermediate outcomes as most likely. The flatness of this curve, combined with the concentration of all markets at essentially the same tenor, indicates the market expects resolution to occur within a narrow 15-16 day window with high certainty. The probability distribution across outcome buckets rather than across time suggests that market participants are not pricing in significant uncertainty about timing—instead, they are pricing uncertainty about which specific outcome will materialize. The clustering of low probabilities (1-2%) at extreme tails and higher probabilities (12-14%) at moderate outcomes reflects a market view that the event will resolve as expected within this near-term window, with most uncertainty centered on the magnitude or specific nature of the result rather than on whether it occurs at all.