SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 4, 2027519 days left

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish 3rd in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

This contract is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

25¢
$912 volume
$460 liquidity
960% of event volume

Event outcomes

8

Family volume

$95

Best sibling

Renan Santos 24¢

Ticker

KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-RCAI

Price history

25¢ current

+18¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 23, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

17 / 22¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
17¢212
14¢28
3¢42
2¢397
AskSize
22¢32
23¢207
28¢1
39¢7
79¢35

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Ronaldo Caiado finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 4, 2027

Identifier

KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3-RCAI

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at 17¢, +8¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

KXBRPRESIDENT3-BRPRES26-3.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$95

Outcomes

8

Highest price

Romeu Zema 32¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

343.5%

IY (No)

14.4%

Adj IY

263%

CRI

5

RV

319%

VR

1.93

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

343.5%
14.4%
Adj IY
263%
5
RV
319%
VR
1.93
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.24

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Your First Prediction Market Trade: End-to-End CLI Walkthrough

Step-by-step CLI tutorial for your first prediction market trade. Install, scan, create a thesis, find edges, check liquidity, place an order, and monitor — all from the command line.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index