CPI core year-over-year in Aug 2026
Exactly 2.8% is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 15 inside CPI core year-over-year in Aug 2026?: Exactly.
Price history
5¢ current
Contract brief
If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.8% in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Exactly 2.8%
Rank
#13 of 15
Leader
Exactly 2.3% 27¢
Range
3¢-27¢
Family volume
$6
Identifier
KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26AUG-T2.8
Aug 17, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 35m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$113
Family rank
#13 of 15
15 outcomes · CPI core year-over-year in Aug 2026?: Exactly
Closes
Sep 11, 2026
Family volume
$6
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.8% in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 11, 2026
Identifier
KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26AUG-T2.8
Event family
CPI core year-over-year in Aug 2026?: Exactly.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Exactly 2.3% 27¢
Current share
0%
Exactly 2.3%
kalshi · KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26AUG-T2.3
Exactly 2.4%
kalshi · KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26AUG-T2.4
Exactly 2.6%
kalshi · KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26AUG-T2.6
Exactly 3.1%
kalshi · KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26AUG-T3.1
Exactly 3.4%
kalshi · KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26AUG-T3.4
Exactly 2.5%
kalshi · KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26AUG-T2.5
Exactly 2.7%
kalshi · KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26AUG-T2.7
Exactly 3.0%
kalshi · KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26AUG-T3.0
Exactly 3.3%
kalshi · KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26AUG-T3.3
Exactly 3.6%
kalshi · KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26AUG-T3.6
Exactly 3.5%
kalshi · KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26AUG-T3.5
Exactly 3.7%
kalshi · KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26AUG-T3.7
Exactly 2.8%
kalshi · KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26AUG-T2.8
Exactly 2.2%
kalshi · KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26AUG-T2.2
Exactly 3.2%
kalshi · KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26AUG-T3.2
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.