SimpleFunctions

How many Attorneys General will Trump have

5 is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 4 inside How many Attorneys General will Trump have.

Price history

7¢ current

5¢10¢
Jul 17, 2026Jul 17, 2026

Contract brief

If President Trump has exactly 5 Attorneys General, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

5

Rank

#4 of 4

Leader

2 49¢

Range

1¢-49¢

Family volume

$387

Identifier

KXTRUMPAGCOUNT-29-5

Jul 17, 2026, 5:37 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

7¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 17, 2026, 5:37 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#4 of 4

4 outcomes · How many Attorneys General will Trump have

Closes

Jan 20, 2029

Family volume

$387

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 7¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
100¢250
100¢175
100¢125
100¢5
AskSize
7¢331
7¢251
8¢125
10¢250
15¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If President Trump has exactly 5 Attorneys General, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 20, 2029

Identifier

KXTRUMPAGCOUNT-29-5

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

How many Attorneys General will Trump have.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$387

Outcomes

4

Highest price

2 49¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.