How many Attorneys General will Trump have
2 is priced at 53¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 57¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside How many Attorneys General will Trump have.
Price history
53¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If President Trump has exactly 2 Attorneys General, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
2
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
2 53¢
Range
1¢-53¢
Family volume
$10
Identifier
KXTRUMPAGCOUNT-29-2
Sep 6, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 46m ago
Implied probability
Bid
53¢
Ask
57¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$10K
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · How many Attorneys General will Trump have
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Family volume
$10
Orderbook snapshot
53 / 57¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If President Trump has exactly 2 Attorneys General, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Identifier
KXTRUMPAGCOUNT-29-2
Event family
How many Attorneys General will Trump have.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$10
Outcomes
3
Highest price
2 53¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
political
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.