How many Attorneys General will Trump have
4 is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside How many Attorneys General will Trump have.
Price history
10¢ current
Contract brief
If President Trump has exactly 4 Attorneys General, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
4
Rank
#3 of 4
Leader
2 51¢
Range
1¢-51¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXTRUMPAGCOUNT-29-4
Jul 22, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#3 of 4
4 outcomes · How many Attorneys General will Trump have
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If President Trump has exactly 4 Attorneys General, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Identifier
KXTRUMPAGCOUNT-29-4
Event family
How many Attorneys General will Trump have.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
4
Highest price
2 51¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.