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How many Attorneys General will Trump have

3 is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside How many Attorneys General will Trump have.

Price history

27¢ current

+7¢
10¢20¢30¢
Aug 20, 2026Sep 12, 2026

Contract brief

If President Trump has exactly 3 Attorneys General, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

3

Rank

#2 of 3

Leader

2 53¢

Range

1¢-53¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXTRUMPAGCOUNT-29-3

Sep 19, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

27¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 19, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

21¢

Ask

26¢

Spread

Reported volume

$7K

Family rank

#2 of 3

3 outcomes · How many Attorneys General will Trump have

Closes

Jan 20, 2029

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

21 / 26¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
21¢5
14¢13
3¢361
3¢49
3¢38
AskSize
26¢10
68¢14
70¢157
71¢214
72¢307

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If President Trump has exactly 3 Attorneys General, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 20, 2029

Identifier

KXTRUMPAGCOUNT-29-3

SF Signal
SF Index
80.40
Regime
neutral

Event family

How many Attorneys General will Trump have.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

3

Highest price

2 53¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

high

Event type

political

Full indicator table

160.8%
11.4%
Adj IY
80%
4

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.