SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Science & technology prediction markets — AI, space, physics.

443 Kalshi-classified live questions across 443 Kalshi contracts, $103,784 of 24h volume. 132 sit in coin-flip territory. 22 markets moved 5cents+ in the last 24h. Refreshed every 15 minutes.

Polymarket-side classification backfill is in flight — until shipped, see the cross-venue picture under /odds?category=science-and-technology.

Category JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/category/science-and-technology
Screen filter
GET/api/public/screen?category=science-and-technology
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 23 Aug 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$103.8K-25%
min $97.8Kmax $355.5K
Breadth-33%-60.0pp
min -80%max 57%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 22:30 UTC
Aug 16past 7d · UTCAug 23 · 20:23

Live contracts

443

24h volume

$103.8K

# series in cat

1

curated GO series

Contested

30%

30-70% prob

SF thesis coverage

1

Top mover

-48¢

KXGPT-ASTRA-26OCT16

Science and Technology — liquidity topography (top 120 of 443 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = price changes / hour. Range: 0.3 → 1.5/h

$10$100$1,000$10,0001d7d30d90d365d1.50.90.3

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Curated series in Science and Technology

1 hubs · sorted by live count
GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets
KXH
18 live
audit 83

Top markets in Science and Technology

Showing top 20 of 443

Sortable across every numeric column — IY / Cliff / Edge / RVol / Resid / 24h vol — all bounded for readability, raw on hover.

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: Before 20276¢
IY >999%Cliff 16Edge —RVol —Resid —$20.4K
How many launches will SpaceX have in Aug 2026?: Above 143¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$18.4K
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?: Grok12¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol 640%Resid —$8.7K
How many launches will SpaceX have in Aug 2026?: Above 1312¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol 700%Resid —$7.0K
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?: ChatGPT11¢
IY >999%Cliff 8Edge —RVol —Resid —$4.3K
How many launches will SpaceX have in Aug 2026?: Above 1285¢
IY 742%Cliff 6Edge —RVol 157%Resid —$3.8K
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?: Gemini8¢
IY >999%Cliff 12Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.8K
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Dec 1, 2026?: Before December3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.5K
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Sep 18, 2026?: Before Sep 18, 202660¢
IY 963%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 459%Resid —$3.5K
Will a new nuclear reactor be approved by Dec 31, 2026?: Grants license11¢
IY >999%Cliff 8Edge —RVol 655%Resid —$3.5K
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?: Claude66¢
IY 145%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 115%Resid —$3.1K
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Nov 1, 2026?: Before November3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$1.9K
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist in 2028?: Before 202817¢
IY 359%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$1.8K
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 16034¢
IY 542%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$1.3K
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist in 2029?: Before Jan 20, 202923¢
IY 139%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$1.3K
Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 202714¢
IY >999%Cliff 6Edge —RVol 557%Resid —$1.2K
Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Sep 1, 2026?: Before Sep 1, 20269¢
IY >999%Cliff 10Edge —RVol —Resid —$959
Will OpenAI release Astra before Sep 18, 2026?: Before Sep 18, 202647¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 175%Resid —$900
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Jan 2027?: Before 20277¢
IY >999%Cliff 13Edge —RVol —Resid —$849
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026?: Z.ai3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$784
443 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Science and Technology

From market_changes
23h agoKalshi
Will OpenAI release Astra before Oct 16, 2026?: Before Oct 16, 2026
36¢84→36 (-48)
open →
21h agoKalshi
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List?: Before 2027
26¢56→26 (-30)
open →
19h agoKalshi
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1530 before Jan 1, 2027: At least 1530 score
9¢28→9 (-19)
open →
13h agoKalshi
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1520 before Jan 1, 2027: At least 1520 score
21¢37→21 (-16)
open →
16h agoKalshi
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?: Central African Republic
26¢11→26 (+15)
open →
1h agoKalshi
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $3.23 by Dec 31?: Above $3.23
73¢61→73 (+12)
open →
1h agoKalshi
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $3.53 by Dec 31?: Above $3.53
48¢39→48 (+9)
open →
13h agoKalshi
Will exactly 5 Starship launches reach space in 2026?: 5
36¢44→36 (-8)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 23 Aug 2026 21:38:42 GMT.

All markets

Liquidity heatmap across both venues. /markets →

Cross-venue / Polymarket

Per-question parity map (includes Polymarket). /odds?category=science-and-technology →

Filter & explore

IY / CRI / RV / VR cuts in this category. /screen?category=science-and-technology →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →