SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Science & technology prediction markets — AI, space, physics.

411 Kalshi-classified live questions across 411 Kalshi contracts, $359,149 of 24h volume. 123 sit in coin-flip territory. 123 markets moved 5cents+ in the last 24h. Refreshed every 15 minutes.

Polymarket-side classification backfill is in flight — until shipped, see the cross-venue picture under /odds?category=science-and-technology.

Category JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/category/science-and-technology
Screen filter
GET/api/public/screen?category=science-and-technology
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 27 Jun 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$359.1K+106%
min $174.2Kmax $546.7K
Breadth-8%-2.5pp
min -44%max 19%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 06:30 UTC
Jun 20past 7d · UTCJun 27 · 06:23

Live contracts

411

24h volume

$359.1K

# series in cat

1

curated GO series

Contested

30%

30-70% prob

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

+76¢

KXA100Q-26JUN30-2.040

Science and Technology — liquidity topography (top 159 of 411 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = price changes / hour. Range: 0.2 → 2.7/h

$10$100$1,000$10,000$100,0001d7d30d90d365d2.71.50.2

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Curated series in Science and Technology

1 hubs · sorted by live count
GPU Cloud Compute Hourly Price Markets
KXH
37 live
audit 83

Top markets in Science and Technology

Showing top 20 of 411

Sortable across every numeric column — IY / Cliff / Edge / RVol / Resid / 24h vol — all bounded for readability, raw on hover.

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 143¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$75.1K
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?: Before 202710¢
IY >999%Cliff 9Edge —RVol —Resid —$48.0K
Will Anthropic release Mythos before Dec 1, 2026?: Before Dec 1, 202618¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 555%Resid —$24.3K
Will Anthropic release Mythos before Sep 1, 2026?: Before Sep 1, 20264¢
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge —RVol —Resid —$21.3K
Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $4.99 by Jun 30?: Above $4.9990¢
IY >999%Cliff 9Edge —RVol 169%Resid —$13.4K
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 1392¢
IY 734%Cliff 12Edge —RVol 333%Resid —$13.1K
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 1297¢
IY 261%Cliff 32Edge —RVol 103%Resid —$11.2K
Will Anthropic release Mythos before Nov 1, 2026?: Before Nov 1, 20268¢
IY >999%Cliff 12Edge —RVol —Resid —$9.1K
Will OpenAI release GPT-5.6 before Jul 3, 2026?: Before Jul 3, 20266¢
IY >999%Cliff 16Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$8.7K
Will OpenAI release GPT-5.6 before Jul 10, 2026?: Before Jul 10, 202633¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$8.3K
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist in 2029?: Before Jan 20, 202929¢
IY 95%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 215%Resid —$7.9K
Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 202718¢
IY 885%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 376%Resid —$6.9K
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist in 2028?: Before 202822¢
IY 234%Cliff 4Edge —RVol 238%Resid —$6.9K
Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $4.39 by Jun 30?: Above $4.3993¢
IY 702%Cliff 13Edge —RVol 149%Resid —$6.8K
Best AI in Dec 2026?: ChatGPT18¢
IY 887%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 795%Resid —$6.5K
Will Anthropic release Mythos before Oct 1, 2026?: Before Oct 1, 20266¢
IY >999%Cliff 16Edge —RVol —Resid —$5.8K
What will be the top AI model this month?: claude-opus-4-6-thinking97¢
IY 339%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$5.6K
Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.19 by Jun 30?: Above $5.195¢
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$5.6K
Best AI in Dec 2026?: Claude63¢
IY 114%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 311%Resid —$5.3K
Will OpenAI release GPT-5.6 before Jul 31, 2026?: Before Jul 31, 202677¢
IY 322%Cliff 3Edge —RVol 680%Resid —$5.1K
411 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Science and Technology

From market_changes
16h agoKalshi
Will the A100 SXM4 compute per hour price be above $2.04 by Jun 30?: Above $2.04
84¢8→84 (+76)
open →
9h agoKalshi
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1520 before Jan 1, 2027: At least 1520 score
76¢1→76 (+75)
open →
9h agoKalshi
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1530 before Jan 1, 2027: At least 1530 score
65¢1→65 (+64)
open →
55m agoKalshi
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?: above 1500
13¢64→13 (-51)
open →
14h agoKalshi
Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.49 by Dec 31?: Above $5.49
15¢62→15 (-47)
open →
9h agoKalshi
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027: At least 1540 score
43¢1→43 (+42)
open →
23h agoKalshi
Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.49 by Dec 31?: Above $5.49
8¢48→8 (-40)
open →
55m agoKalshi
Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.19 by Dec 31?: Above $5.19
8¢48→8 (-40)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 27 Jun 2026 06:08:43 GMT.

All markets

Liquidity heatmap across both venues. /markets →

Cross-venue / Polymarket

Per-question parity map (includes Polymarket). /odds?category=science-and-technology →

Filter & explore

IY / CRI / RV / VR cuts in this category. /screen?category=science-and-technology →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →