What will be Auston Matthews's next team?

Prediction markets currently give a 15% probability that What will be Auston Matthews's next team?. This contract trades at 15¢ on Kalshi, closing November 1, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $6.29 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 15¢ price potentially unreliable.

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15¢
Bid/Ask 0/15¢·Spread 15¢·Vol $0·OI $6.29·Closes Nov 1, 2026·193d remaining
KXNEXTTEAMNHL-26AMAT-FLA

Analysis

2d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $6.29 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 15¢ price potentially unreliable. The 1056.9% implied yield on the Yes side is unusually high and likely reflects the thin liquidity rather than genuine probability assessment—such yields typically appear in low-volume prediction markets where small trades create outsized percentage returns. With 196 days to expiry and a 6 Cliff Risk Index, traders should be cautious about position sizing, as the lack of trading activity could make exits difficult if circumstances change.

Resolution rules

If Auston Matthews's next team is the Florida Panthers before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1070.4%
IY (No) 33.3%
Adj IY 535%
CRI 6
Overround 1.5%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1070.4%
IY (No)33.3%
Adj IY535%
CRI6
Overround1.5%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
15¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 11:38:59 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 11:38:18 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNEXTTEAMNHL-26AMAT-FLA yes 100

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