What will be the exact order of standings for the NFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season
Leader sits at 25% across 15 bound outcomes, runner-up at 23%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
1: Buffalo / 2: New England / 3: New York J / 4: Miami
Outcomes
15
winner-take-all
Runner-up
23¢
1: Los Angeles R / 2: Seattl
Spread
2pp
contested
24h volume
$2K
modest
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
175 days
Venue
Kalshi
15 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What will be the exact order of standings for
What will be the exact order of standings for the NFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Chicago / 2: Detroit / 3: Green Bay / 4: Minnesota
KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27NFCNORTH-CHIDETGBMIN
What will be the exact order of standings for the NFC East at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Dallas / 2: Philadelphia / 3: New York G / 4: Washington
KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27NFCEAST-DALPHINYGWAS
What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Baltimore / 2: Cincinnati / 3: Pittsburgh / 4: Cleveland
KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCNORTH-BALCINPITCLE
What will be the exact order of standings for the NFC South at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: New Orleans / 2: Atlanta / 3: Tampa Bay / 4: Carolina
KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27NFCSOUTH-NOATLTBCAR
What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC South at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Houston / 2: Jacksonville / 3: Indianapolis / 4: Tennessee
KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCSOUTH-HOUJACINDTEN
What will be the exact order of standings for the NFC South at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Atlanta / 2: Tampa Bay / 3: Carolina / 4: New Orleans
KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27NFCSOUTH-ATLTBCARNO
What will be the exact order of standings for the NFC South at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: New Orleans / 2: Carolina / 3: Atlanta / 4: Tampa Bay
KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27NFCSOUTH-NOCARATLTB
What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC West at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Denver / 2: Los Angeles C / 3: Kansas City / 4: Las Vegas
KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCWEST-DENLACKCLV
What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC South at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Houston / 2: Jacksonville / 3: Tennessee / 4: Indianapolis
KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCSOUTH-HOUJACTENIND
What will be the exact order of standings for the NFC West at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Los Angeles R / 2: San Francisco / 3: Seattle / 4: Arizona
KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27NFCWEST-LARSFSEAARI
What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC East at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Buffalo / 2: New England / 3: Miami / 4: New York J
KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCEAST-BUFNEMIANYJ
What will be the exact order of standings for the NFC West at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Los Angeles R / 2: Seattle / 3: San Francisco / 4: Arizona
KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27NFCWEST-LARSEASFARI
What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC East at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Buffalo / 2: New England / 3: New York J / 4: Miami
KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCEAST-BUFNENYJMIA
What will be the exact order of standings for the NFC South at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: New Orleans / 2: Tampa Bay / 3: Carolina / 4: Atlanta
KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27NFCSOUTH-NOTBCARATL
What will be the exact order of standings for the NFC South at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1: Atlanta / 2: Carolina / 3: Tampa Bay / 4: New Orleans
KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27NFCSOUTH-ATLCARTBNO
Analysis
This market estimates the probability that Detroit finishes 1st, Green Bay 2nd, Chicago 3rd, and Minnesota 4th in the NFC North division at the end of the 2026-27 regular season at 22%. The Detroit Lions' recent competitive strength and roster development are primary factors supporting this scenario, while competitive balance within the division—particularly Green Bay's quarterback situation and Minnesota's offensive capability—creates uncertainty. The outcome will be substantially shaped by mid-season team performance, injury outcomes, and trade-deadline moves between now and the February 2027 season conclusion. Division standings depend on win-loss records across 17 games, making roster health and coaching consistency critical variables through the full season arc.
- ›Detroit's divisional win-loss record and whether they maintain the competitive edge they've established in recent seasons
- ›Green Bay's quarterback performance and overall roster composition relative to other division teams
- ›Minnesota's ability to compete for division titles given their recent trajectory and roster investments
- ›Chicago's developmental progress if they are fielding a younger rebuild roster in 2026
- ›Injury occurrence rates among key players, particularly at quarterback and skill positions, across all four teams from now through February 2027
What moved the line
- Aug 41: Buffalo / 2: New England / 3: Miami / 4: New York J↑5pp6→11¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 51: Los Angeles R / 2: San Francisco / 3: Seattle / 4: Arizona↓5pp11→6¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 51: Los Angeles R / 2: Seattle / 3: San Francisco / 4: Arizona↑4pp17→21¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 51: Baltimore / 2: Cincinnati / 3: Pittsburgh / 4: Cleveland↑3pp12→15¢ · Kalshi
- Aug 61: Los Angeles R / 2: San Francisco / 3: Seattle / 4: Arizona↑3pp6→9¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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