When will AppsFlyer IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 27% probability that When will AppsFlyer IPO?. This contract trades at 27¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $2 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 27¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $2 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 27¢ price potentially unreliable for serious positioning. The 1032.6% implied yield on the Yes side is artificially inflated by the minimal liquidity and wide 9¢ spread, suggesting this contract is essentially illiquid rather than genuinely mispriced. With 259 days to expiry and a neutral regime, the market lacks conviction—the flat 7-day price action at 12¢ indicates no recent catalyst or material information flow.
Resolution rules
If AppsFlyer confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPOAPPSFLYER-27JAN01 yes 100