Before May 1, 2027 · When will AppsFlyer IPO?: Before
Before May 1, 2027 is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 12 inside When will AppsFlyer IPO?: Before.
Price history
33¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
If AppsFlyer confirms an IPO before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before May 1, 2027
Rank
#2 of 12
Leader
Before Jun 1, 2027 22¢
Range
1¢-22¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXIPOAPPSFLYER-27MAY01
Jun 25, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
19¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$15
Family rank
#2 of 12
12 outcomes · When will AppsFlyer IPO?: Before
Closes
May 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
19 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If AppsFlyer confirms an IPO before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 1, 2027
Identifier
KXIPOAPPSFLYER-27MAY01
Event family
When will AppsFlyer IPO?: Before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Before Jun 1, 2027 22¢
Current share
—
Before Jun 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPOAPPSFLYER-27JUN01
Before May 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPOAPPSFLYER-27MAY01
Before Apr 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPOAPPSFLYER-27APR01
Before Mar 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPOAPPSFLYER-27MAR01
Before Feb 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPOAPPSFLYER-27FEB01
Before Aug 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOAPPSFLYER-26AUG01
Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · KXIPOAPPSFLYER-27JAN01
Before Jul 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOAPPSFLYER-26JUL01
Before Dec 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOAPPSFLYER-26DEC01
Before Nov 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOAPPSFLYER-26NOV01
Before Sep 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOAPPSFLYER-26SEP01
Before Oct 1, 2026
kalshi · KXIPOAPPSFLYER-26OCT01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 33% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.