SimpleFunctions
KalshiSep 10, 2026124 days left

Who will join MLS in the summer?

This contract is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 9¢ spread.

Implied probability

15¢
$13 volume
$13 liquidity
3% of event volume

Event outcomes

15

Family volume

$361

Best sibling

Casemiro 80¢

Ticker

KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-ADIMARIA

Market snapshot

Angel Di Maria in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Who will join MLS in the summer?. The displayed quote is 15¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $13. In the Who will join MLS in the summer family, this outcome ranks #11 of 15 by current quote across 15 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Angel Di Maria

Family rank

#11 of 15

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

15¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Sep 10, 2026

Reported volume

$13

Family context

15 outcomes · Who will join MLS in the summer

Quote range

6¢-80¢

Family leader

Casemiro 80¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-ADIMARIA. Family volume: $361.

Price history

15¢ current

+9¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 23, 2026Apr 26, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 15¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
100¢258
6¢5
5¢200
AskSize
15¢200
89¢50
90¢20
92¢1.4K
97¢146

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Angel Di Maria's next club is any team in the MLS before Sep 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 10, 2026

Identifier

KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-ADIMARIA

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4600.2%

IY (No)

18.7%

Adj IY

2300%

CRI

16

Overround

1.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4600.2%
18.7%
Adj IY
2300%
16
Overround
1.8%

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