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KalshiSep 10, 2026124 days left

Who will join MLS in the summer?

This contract is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Implied probability

20¢
$205 volume
$205 liquidity
58% of event volume

Event outcomes

15

Family volume

$354

Best sibling

Casemiro 80¢

Ticker

KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-LMOURA

Market snapshot

Lucas Moura in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Who will join MLS in the summer?. The displayed quote is 20¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $205. In the Who will join MLS in the summer family, this outcome ranks #5 of 15 by current quote across 15 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Lucas Moura

Family rank

#5 of 15

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

20¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Sep 10, 2026

Reported volume

$205

Family context

15 outcomes · Who will join MLS in the summer

Quote range

6¢-80¢

Family leader

Casemiro 80¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-LMOURA. Family volume: $354.

Price history

20¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 23, 2026May 6, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

16 / 24¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
16¢5
15¢200
3¢49
2¢321
AskSize
24¢5
25¢200
66¢279
67¢48

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Lucas Moura's next club is any team in the MLS before Sep 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 10, 2026

Identifier

KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-LMOURA

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1540.8%

IY (No)

55.9%

Adj IY

770%

CRI

5

Overround

1.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1540.8%
55.9%
Adj IY
770%
5
Overround
1.8%

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