Who will join MLS in the summer
Yann Sommer is priced at 11¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 15 inside Who will join MLS in the summer.
Price history
11¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If Yann Sommer's next club is any team in the MLS before Sep 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Yann Sommer
Rank
#10 of 15
Leader
Casemiro 98¢
Range
2¢-98¢
Family volume
$111
Identifier
KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-YSOMMER
Jul 24, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
11¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#10 of 15
15 outcomes · Who will join MLS in the summer
Closes
Sep 10, 2026
Family volume
$111
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Yann Sommer's next club is any team in the MLS before Sep 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 10, 2026
Identifier
KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-YSOMMER
Event family
Who will join MLS in the summer.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$111
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Casemiro 98¢
Current share
0%
Casemiro
kalshi · KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-CASEMIRO
Lucas Moura
kalshi · KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-LMOURA
Neymar
kalshi · KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-NEYMAR
Francesco Acerbi
kalshi · KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-FACERBI
Mohamed Salah
kalshi · KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-MSALAH
Harry Kane
kalshi · KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-HKANE
Manuel Neuer
kalshi · KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-MNEUER
Angel Di Maria
kalshi · KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-ADIMARIA
Sergio Ramos
kalshi · KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-SRAMOS
Yann Sommer
kalshi · KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-YSOMMER
Karim Benzema
kalshi · KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-KBENZEMA
Keylor Navas
kalshi · KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-KNAVAS
Luka Modric
kalshi · KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-LMODRIC
Cristiano Ronaldo
kalshi · KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-CRONALDO
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
kalshi · KXMLSJOIN-26SEP03-HMKHITARYAN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.