Republic of the Congo · Will a human case of Ebola disease
Republic of the Congo is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside Will a human case of Ebola disease.
Price history
13¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Republic of the Congo is officially reported before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Republic of the Congo
Rank
#11 of 16
Leader
South Sudan 38¢
Range
3¢-38¢
Family volume
$144
Identifier
KXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-RCON
Jul 12, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$155
Family rank
#11 of 16
16 outcomes · Will a human case of Ebola disease
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Family volume
$144
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Republic of the Congo is officially reported before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Identifier
KXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-RCON
Event family
Will a human case of Ebola disease.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$144
Outcomes
16
Highest price
South Sudan 38¢
Current share
0%
South Sudan
kalshi · KXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-SUD
Burundi
kalshi · KXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-BUR
Central African Republic
kalshi · KXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-CAR
Rwanda
kalshi · KXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-RWA
United States
kalshi · KXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-USA
Nigeria
kalshi · KXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-NIGE
Angola
kalshi · KXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-ANG
Tanzania
kalshi · KXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-TANZ
Kenya
kalshi · KXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-KEN
Zambia
kalshi · KXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-ZAMB
Republic of the Congo
kalshi · KXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-RCON
Ethiopia
kalshi · KXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-ETHI
India
kalshi · KXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-IND
China
kalshi · KXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-CHI
Somalia
kalshi · KXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-SOM
Canada
kalshi · KXEBOLACOUNTRY-OCT26-CANA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.