SimpleFunctions

Ben Rice · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30

Ben Rice is priced at 77¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 77¢ bid, 82¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30.

Price history

77¢ current

2¢
70¢80¢
May 29, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Ben Rice records 30+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Ben Rice

Rank

#2 of 16

Leader

Junior Caminero 79¢

Range

6¢-79¢

Family volume

$232

Identifier

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BRICE22

Jun 26, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 21m ago

Implied probability

77¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 21m ago

Bid

77¢

Ask

82¢

Spread

24h volume

$61

Family rank

#2 of 16

16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30

Closes

Oct 3, 2026

Family volume

$232

Orderbook snapshot

77 / 82¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
77¢152
72¢125
71¢2
68¢140
67¢66
AskSize
82¢13
85¢100
86¢66
90¢100
94¢215

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Ben Rice records 30+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 3, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BRICE22

SF Signal
SF Index
614.47
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

MLB Player Season Home Run Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLBSEASONHR series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

109.6%

IY (No)

1228.9%

Adj IY

614%

CRI

3

Overround

16.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

109.6%
1228.9%
Adj IY
614%
3
Overround
16.2%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.