Maintains rate · Will Bank of Canada
Maintains rate is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 70¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Will Bank of Canada.
Price history
5¢ current
−20¢Contract brief
If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of 0bps at its Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Maintains rate
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Maintains rate 28¢
Range
4¢-28¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXCBDECISIONCANADA-26DEC-H0
Aug 17, 2026, 4:39 PM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
28¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
70¢
Reported volume
$40
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Will Bank of Canada
Closes
Dec 9, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
28 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of 0bps at its Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 9, 2026
Identifier
KXCBDECISIONCANADA-26DEC-H0
Event family
Will Bank of Canada.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Maintains rate 28¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.