What is the current probability for "Will Bill Pulte leaves FHFA Director in before 2027?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 21¢ (21% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on January 1, 2027. 243 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Bill Pulte leaves FHFA Director in before 2027?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 640.8% and 35.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Bill Pulte leaves FHFA Director in before 2027?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiJan 1, 2027243 days left

Will Bill Pulte leaves FHFA Director in before 2027?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

21¢

$21K volume

$8K liquidity

98% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$22K

Best sibling

Kash Patel 71¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-BPUL

Price history

21¢ current

−11¢

Apr 9, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

19 / 22¢

Kalshi

3¢ spread

BidSize

19¢2

18¢2

17¢2

16¢2

15¢35

AskSize

22¢125

24¢279

34¢497

35¢243

38¢1

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Bill Pulte leaves as FHFA Director before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-BPUL

Event family

KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$22K

Outcomes

Highest price

Kash Patel 71¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Bill Pulte

kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-BPUL

19¢$71$710.1

Kash Patel

kalshi · KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KPAT