SimpleFunctions

Bo Nix · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10

Bo Nix is priced at 33¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10.

Price history

33¢ current

+11¢
20¢30¢
Aug 24, 2026Aug 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Bo Nix finishes top 10 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Bo Nix

Rank

#12 of 16

Leader

Lamar Jackson 49¢

Range

11¢-49¢

Family volume

$265

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-BNIX10

Aug 27, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

33¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Aug 27, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

28¢

Ask

38¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#12 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$265

Orderbook snapshot

28 / 38¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
28¢5
27¢450
12¢100
11¢181
5¢100
AskSize
38¢5
40¢450
55¢100
92¢2.6K
93¢49

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Bo Nix finishes top 10 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-BNIX10

SF Signal
SF Index
324.50
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

649.0%

IY (No)

98.2%

Adj IY

325%

CRI

3

Overround

6.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

649.0%
98.2%
Adj IY
325%
3
Overround
6.3%

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

How to Scan Prediction Market Orderbooks: Spread, Depth, and Liquidity Analysis

Practical guide to analyzing orderbook data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Learn spread, depth, liquidity scoring, and executable edge calculation.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Technicalrisk

Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter

How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.