SimpleFunctions

Patrick Mahomes · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10

Patrick Mahomes is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10.

Price history

39¢ current

+37¢
0¢25¢
Aug 24, 2026Aug 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Patrick Mahomes finishes top 10 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Patrick Mahomes

Rank

#11 of 16

Leader

Lamar Jackson 49¢

Range

11¢-49¢

Family volume

$266

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-PMAHOMES15

Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 43m ago

Implied probability

39¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 43m ago

Bid

29¢

Ask

39¢

Spread

10¢

24h volume

$0

Family rank

#11 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$266

Orderbook snapshot

29 / 39¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
29¢5
26¢450
12¢50
11¢181
5¢54
AskSize
39¢450
80¢50
81¢1.1K
82¢73
97¢1.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Patrick Mahomes finishes top 10 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-PMAHOMES15

SF Signal
SF Index
618.18
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

618.2%

IY (No)

103.1%

Adj IY

618%

CRI

2

RV

1233%

VR

4.05

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

618.2%
103.1%
Adj IY
618%
2
RV
1233%
VR
4.05
IAR
1.6/h
Overround
6.3%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.