SimpleFunctions

Dak Prescott · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10

Dak Prescott is priced at 51¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10.

Price history

51¢ current

+47¢
0¢25¢50¢
Aug 14, 2026Aug 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Dak Prescott finishes top 10 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Dak Prescott

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Lamar Jackson 49¢

Range

11¢-49¢

Family volume

$365

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-DPRESCOTT4

Aug 26, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

51¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 26, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

35¢

Ask

47¢

Spread

12¢

Reported volume

$69

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$365

Orderbook snapshot

35 / 47¢

Kalshi
12¢ spread
BidSize
35¢10
34¢450
20¢50
19¢100
13¢153
AskSize
47¢450
62¢100
89¢1.6K
90¢100
98¢145

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Dak Prescott finishes top 10 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-DPRESCOTT4

SF Signal
SF Index
234.29
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

468.6%

IY (No)

135.9%

Adj IY

234%

CRI

2

Overround

6.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

468.6%
135.9%
Adj IY
234%
2
Overround
6.3%

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.