Jayden Daniels · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10
Jayden Daniels is priced at 47¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10.
Price history
47¢ current
+36¢Contract brief
If Jayden Daniels finishes top 10 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jayden Daniels
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Lamar Jackson 49¢
Range
10¢-49¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-JDANIELS5
Aug 27, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
43¢
Ask
51¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
43 / 51¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jayden Daniels finishes top 10 in scoring among quarterbacks for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
Identifier
KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-JDANIELS5
Event family
KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Lamar Jackson 49¢
Current share
0%
Lamar Jackson
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-LJACKSON8
Drake Maye
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-DMAYE10
Joe Burrow
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-JBURROW9
Jayden Daniels
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-JDANIELS5
Caleb Williams
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-CWILLIAMS18
Dak Prescott
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-DPRESCOTT4
Trevor Lawrence
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-TLAWRENCE16
Brock Purdy
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-BPURDY13
Jared Goff
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-JGOFF16
Cam Ward
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-CWARD1
Patrick Mahomes
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-PMAHOMES15
Geno Smith
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-GSMITH7
Bo Nix
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-BNIX10
Malik Willis
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-MWILLIS2
Baker Mayfield
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-BMAYFIELD6
Fernando Mendoza
kalshi · KXNFLFFLEADERTOP-27QBT10-FMENDOZA15
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.