Russia · Will Donald Trump visit
Russia is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside Will Donald Trump visit.
Price history
8¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Russia after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Russia
Rank
#9 of 16
Leader
Germany 38¢
Range
3¢-38¢
Family volume
$933
Identifier
KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-RUS
Jul 23, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 1h ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
0¢
Reported volume
$12K
Family rank
#9 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Donald Trump visit
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$933
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 8¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Russia after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-RUS
Event family
Will Donald Trump visit.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$933
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Germany 38¢
Current share
0%
Germany
kalshi · KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-GER
Saudi Arabia
kalshi · KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-SA
Israel
kalshi · KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-ISR
Qatar
kalshi · KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-QAT
India
kalshi · KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-IND
Mexico
kalshi · KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-MEX
Italy
kalshi · KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-ITA
Ukraine
kalshi · KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-UKR
Canada
kalshi · KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-CAN
Russia
kalshi · KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-RUS
Denmark
kalshi · KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-DEN
Vatican City
kalshi · KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-VAT
North Korea
kalshi · KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-NK
Hungary
kalshi · KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-HUN
Taiwan
kalshi · KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-TAI
Palestine
kalshi · KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-PAL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.